BLACK mobile logo

united states

Will Trump's tariff rollback lower food prices?

November 17, 2025

President Trump's recent decision to remove tariffs on over 200 products, including popular items like bananas and coffee, represents a major policy reversal driven by concerns about cost-of-living issues and declining approval ratings. While food industry groups celebrated the rollback as an important step toward affordability, economists warn the actual impact on grocery prices will likely be modest since imports account for less than 20% of American food purchases and many Mexican imports were already tariff-exempt. Some importers expect to lower prices within weeks, but overall household grocery budgets may see limited relief because food costs are driven by multiple factors beyond tariffs, including labor expenses, droughts, and service-related costs like trucking and retail operations.

Who is affected

  • American consumers/shoppers
  • Food importers and distributors (specifically mentioned: Anthony Serafino's EXP Group in New Jersey)
  • President Donald Trump and the White House administration
  • Republican political candidates
  • Food retailers (Walmart, Target, Kroger mentioned)
  • The food industry broadly (represented by FMI, the Food Industry Association)
  • Foreign food suppliers, particularly from Mexico

What action is being taken

  • Anthony Serafino's EXP Group is planning to drop prices in the coming weeks after raising them earlier this year to cover tariff costs
  • Serafino is currently selling items brought in before the tariff change, after which price reductions will follow
  • The White House has removed tariffs on certain food items like coffee, spices, and tropical fruits

Why it matters

  • The tariff rollback matters because it addresses significant cost-of-living concerns that have been weighing down White House approval ratings and hurting Republican candidates in recent elections. Trump's tariffs were projected to drive up food prices by 1.9% in the short run, a substantial impact given that US grocery prices historically rise only about 2% annually. However, the practical significance is limited because imports account for less than 20% of American food purchases, many Mexican imports were already exempt, and food prices are influenced by numerous factors beyond tariffs including labor costs, droughts, and service-related expenses, meaning consumers may not see dramatic relief in their overall grocery bills.

What's next

  • Importers like Anthony Serafino expect to drop prices in the coming weeks
  • It may take a few weeks for shoppers to see price differences as retailers sell through inventory purchased before the tariff change
  • Trump administration officials warn it will take time to correct high food prices

Read full article from source: BBC